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by Joel Aufrecht
11:08 AM, 20 Jan 2009
Obama became president at noon (EDT) today:
The terms of the President and Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January, and the terms of Senators and Representatives at noon on the 3d day of January, of the years in which such terms would have ended if this article had not been ratified; and the terms of their successors shall then begin. (US Constitution, Amendment 20, paragraph 1)However, he could not begin "executing" his office until taking the oath/affirmation, which happened a few moments after noon by my clock: Before he enter on the Execution of his Office, he shall take the following Oath or Affirmation: Chief Justice Roberts and president-elect Obama clearly did not practice the oath; for those keeping score at home, you can call that an E-1, batter safe at first. (update: In baseball score notation, E is error. The defensive positions are numbered one through nine, from pitcher to right fielder (pitcher, catcher, first base, second base, third base, shortstop, left field, center field, right field. There are nine Supreme Court justices, and Roberts as chief justice is #1).
Categories:
Good News
Comments (1)
by Joel Aufrecht
12:01 AM, 14 Jan 2009
I've mentioned this before: one reason I love baseball is that it makes a great sandbox for statistical thinking. It features both a rich set of data and a steady supply of ignorance. And the lessons apply directly to the rest of the world. Here's an example. In the baseball world, sportswriter Chaz Scoggins explains his Hall of Fame ballot choices. He's gracious to talk to Baseball Prospectus, a primary source of the new wave of scientific analysis, and a forum in which his reasoning is not respected.
DL: Tim Raines received only 122 votes, one of which came from you. What impressed you about Raines?It's fairly clear, especially if you read the entire interview and also read the stathead analysis in Baseball Prospectus, that Scoggins' selections are entirely subjective. His gut feeling tells him who is worthy, and then he cherry-picks statistics as needed to rationalize his choices. Now observe the same thinking in another context: A task force created by 49 state attorneys general to look into the problem of sexual solicitation of children online ... concluded that the problem of bullying among children, both online and offline, poses a far more serious challenge than the sexual solicitation of minors by adults. Notice the dichotomy. Statistics are not reality. Blumenthal knows the facts, and "statistical academic research" is not the facts. The actual reality, of course, is that "statistical academic research" is one of the most powerful tools available to understanding reality. It can be wrong in many ways, from bias to systemic error to total conceptual failure, but "it contradicts what I know in my heart and my vested interests to be true" is not a very good counter-argument.
Categories:
Baseball
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by Joel Aufrecht
03:38 PM, 10 Jan 2009
Categories:
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by Joel Aufrecht
12:58 PM, 09 Jan 2009
I'm attending my first PMI event in Silicon Valley. (see previous entries about PMI). My PMP certificate expires at The speaker follows, in my paraphrase unless otherwise noted: I'm going to talk about the mistakes I see people making over and over and over. My background ... Air force ... staffing company. We put on a conference called LavaCon, in Hawaii, but in 2009 it'll be in New Orleans. And I have a Mardi Gras necklace here ... Tonight is about group participation. [He has a big bag of chocolate and is throwing chocolate to anyone who asks a question.] Recruiters get many resumes every day. Your first job is to make the recruiter's job easier.
End of presenter's material... We're already ten minutes over so I skipped out on the drawings for various prizes. I did ask one question during the meeting: How do you find companies that value your PMP certification. No good answer: companies that value PMP will post on the PMI website. Search for PMP on Dice or Monster. PMI-SV in creating a new job search group, Friday mornings 7:30 am to 9 am, in Cupertino. During the networking break, I talked to my seatmates, and got a nice reminder of the three elements of the PM's job: "People, process, tools". Summary: good refresher on the basics. A few little things particular to PMs, mostly in figuring out who might need PMs based on other observed activity, but 98% generic. I'm already doing most of the good stuff and avoiding most of the dumb stuff. I picked up one interesting idea, which is to make the cover letter a direct mapping from job requirements to matching experience, the point being to save the HR person or recruiter from digging through my resume. I already do this in text, and I already stick with a pretty lean cover letter, but I like this idea of spelling it out. So, on the content it's a win, the guy was entertaining, I may steal his idea of dispensing from a bag of candy throughout the event (with an option for diabetics), and now I have 30 PDUs.
Categories:
Project Management
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